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17th March 2022
05:04pm GMT

Credit: Royal Society of Open Science - Fig. 1. Confidence they could land a plane 'without dying'[/caption]
Ultimately, the research paid credence to the assumption that overconfidence is associated with gender, hypothesising that "men tend to be more overconfident in their knowledge and abilities than women—even in a high-stakes environment", especially when performing what they believe to be masculine tasks.
In contrast, it was put forward that "women do not show the same overconfidence for feminine-gender-typed tasks" and the evidence seemed to suggest as much.
Moreover, many participants were asked how confident they'd be flying and landing an aircraft as well as a pilot, both before and after the clip, and it was found that their confidence often went up by around 38 per cent after seeing the footage.
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Fig. 2 - Confidence they could fly a plane as well as a pilot[/caption]
Speaking to the New Scientist, one of the lead authors of the study, Maryanne Gary, said that people in general “tend to inflate their confidence about certain things” in what she dubs “rapid illusion” and that this phenomenon, based on a limited amount of information, is seen in a "disturbing proportion of ordinary people”.
The concept itself has been observed before in what experts call the Dunning-Kruger effect, which essentially describes how people with limited knowledge or competence in an intellectual or social domain grossly overestimate their aptitude in that domain, especially when compared to their peers.
Lastly, whilst almost everyone admitted that manning and landing an aircraft requires a great amount of expertise and training, most seemed to believe that if push came to shove, they could perform a number of highly-skilled tasks in an emergency.
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