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UK city named most likely to have a white Christmas this year

Published 10:28 11 Nov 2026 GMT

Updated 10:29 11 Nov 2026 GMT

Jetlir Buja
UK city named most likely to have a white Christmas this year

Homenews

47 years of weather data analysed gives us the answer.

There's something about waking up on Christmas morning, looking out of the window and seeing everything covered in snow.

For many in the UK, though, a white Christmas has become something we see more often in films than outside our own homes.

But if you're hoping for a little festive magic this year, one Scottish city might be your best bet.

And it's not Edinburgh or Glasgow.

According to research reported by the Mirror, Aberdeen has been named the UK city most likely to wake up to a white Christmas, based on historical snowfall records.

Family holiday specialists Lapland Famille analysed 47 years of Copernicus weather data, looking at how often snow was lying on the ground at 9am on Christmas Day across 67 UK towns and cities.

And Aberdeen came out on top.

The Scottish city recorded snow on the ground on five Christmas mornings: 1981, 1993, 1995, 2009 and 2010.

That's five white Christmases in the period studied, with the most recent one now 16 years ago.

Interestingly, Aberdeen wasn't the only place to reach that figure.

Bolton, Blackburn, Dundee, Manchester, Preston and Derry also recorded five snowy Christmas mornings.

So why did Aberdeen take the top spot?

Well, researchers also looked at the days immediately before and after Christmas.

And Aberdeen had the strongest record, with snow lying on the ground on 12 Christmas Eve and Boxing Day mornings combined.

That was enough to put it ahead of the competition.

The 10 UK places most likely to have a white Christmas

Based on the historical data, the top 10 are:

  1. Aberdeen
  2. Bolton
  3. Blackburn
  4. Dundee
  5. Manchester
  6. Preston
  7. Derry
  8. Bradford
  9. Inverness
  10. Wrexham

Of course, the chances of waking up to snow vary quite a bit across the country.

So, if you're dreaming of a white Christmas this year, history suggests you might have better luck heading north.

But there's one important catch.

These findings aren't a weather forecast for Christmas Day 2026. They simply show which places have experienced snowy Christmas mornings most frequently in the past.

Whether Aberdeen actually gets another white Christmas this year remains to be seen.

And while Christmas Day is still some way off, snow is already making headlines across Britain.

In fact, more than 30 UK counties are set for snow, with some areas facing wintry conditions.